Tel Aviv: The Missile Technology Control Regime (MTCR) is dead. Those who still believed in its efficiency could see it buried in Saudi Arabia’s World Defense Show.
An informal export-control club, the Missile Technology Control Regime aims to limit the transfer of technology linked with missiles and UAVs that can deliver a 500 kg payload to 300 km or beyond, as well as related tpechnologies.
The MTCR, according to Israeli sources, is not a treaty or enforcement body but rather relies on political will and norm-building.
The World Defense Show 2026 in Riyadh united numerous exhibitors, such as leading Chinese UAV and missile manufacturers, Russian rocket and artillery firms, Pakistani drone producers, and Western prime contractors, all promoting long-range strike and guided systems to buyers in the Gulf.
Chinese companies displayed entire line-ups of armed MALE UAVs (Wing Loong-2, Wing Loong-10B) capable of carrying heavy weaponry and exhibiting extended operational durations, strategically designed for stand-off precision strikes, targeting the very MTCR-sensitive area that the US has sought to restrict for years.
Russian stands featured guided-rocket and MLRS systems with 200 km–class munitions, again squarely in the regime’s concern zone, marketed openly in a high-profile Gulf venue.
Non-MTCR suppliers like China use the show to highlight how easy it is to buy their armed drones compared with US systems constrained by MTCR interpretations, explicitly pitching themselves as the no-questions-asked alternative.
US policy has responded not by strengthening MTCR but by re-interpreting it: Washington shifted its stance on exporting Reaper-class MQ-9s so it could push a triple-digit sale to Saudi Arabia and claw back market share lost to Chinese, Israeli, and Turkish UAVs.
The show proved again that that MTCR has became a joke, used by many countries that are ready to export any weapon systems they make.
Norm erosion at a marquee Gulf expo signals to other buyers (Egypt, UAE, Qatar, etc.) that MTCR is optional and that market competition will eventually bend Western rules anyway.
